7.1.10

-- S 12 -- Inductive Reasoning, Advanced Strategies, Arguments

-- S 12 --TFY C11 Inductive Reasoning,
CRCB Advanced Strategies
CRCB C11 Visual Aids
CRCB C12 Identifying and Evaluating Arguments




TFY

Chapter 11


Analogical ReasoningAnalogical reasoning draws conclusions on the basis of observed correspondences.
CauseA perceived source or consequence of an event.
Conclusion of an inductive studyTo make a generalization about empirical findings that may or may not confirm the hypothesis tested. It also may not be totally certain.
Either-or FallacyThis fallacy is an argument that oversimplifies a situation, asserting that there are only two choices when actually there are many.
ExtrapolationThis is an inference based on an estimated projection of known information.
False AnalogyThis fallacy compares two things that may have some similarities but also significant differences that are ignored for the sake of the argument.
Hasty GeneralizationThis fallacy is a conclusion based on insufficient evidence.
HypothesisHypothesis is a trial idea, tentative explanation, or theory that can be tested and used to further an investigation.
Inconsistencies and ContradictionsThis fallacy makes claims that are contradictory or offers evidence that contradicts the conclusion.
InductionTo reason about all members of a class on the basis of an examination of some members of a class.
InferTo use imagination and reasoning to fill in missing facts. To connect the dots.
Loaded QuestionThis fallacy uses a biased question that seeks to obtain a predetermined answer.
OpinionOpinion is a word used to include an unsupported belief, a supported argument, an expert’s judgment, prevailing public sentiment, and a formal statement by a court.
PatternA perceived design or form.
Principal claim and reasonsThese are the two parts of an argument. The principal claim is the thesis or conclusion. The reasons support this claim through evidence or other claims. A claim is an assertion about something.
Questionable StatisticThis fallacy backs up an argument with statistics that are either unknowable or unsound.
Reasoning through enumerationThis is reasoning through counting. Reasoning draws conclusions or inferences from facts or premises.
Reasoning through Statistics and ProbabilityThis occurs in inductive reasoning. Statistics is the science of collecting, organizing, and interpreting numerical data. Probability in statistics estimates the ratio of the number of actual occurrences of a specific event to the total number of possible occurrences.
Reasoning with hypothesesTo conceive a trial idea and use it to implement an investigation.
Slippery SlopeThis fallacy is an unwarranted claim that permitting one event to occur will lead to an inevitable and uncontrollable chain reaction.
The empirical or scientific methodThe empirical or scientific method is based on observation and experiment.
ThinkingPurposeful mental activity such as reasoning, deciding, judging, believing, supposing, expecting, intending, recalling, remembering, visualizing, imagining, devising, inventing, concentrating, conceiving, considering.

Overview:
Inductive reasoning, also known as induction or inductive logic, is a type of reasoning that involves moving from a set of specific facts to a general conclusion. It uses premises from objects that have been examined to establish a conclusion about an object that has not been examined

It can also be seen as a form of theory-building, in which specific facts are used to create a theory that explains relationships between the facts and allows prediction of future knowledge. The premises of an inductive logical argument indicate some degree of support (inductive probability) for the conclusion but do not entail it; i.e. they do not ensure its truth.

Induction is used to ascribe properties or relations to types based on an observation instance (i.e., on a number of observations or experiences); or to formulate laws based on limited observations of recurring phenomenal patterns.

Induction is employed, for example, in using specific propositions such as:

This ice is cold. (Or: All ice I have ever touched has been cold.)

This billiard ball moves when struck with a cue. (Or: Of one hundred billiard balls struck with a cue, all of them moved.)

...to infer general propositions such as:
All ice is cold.
All billiard balls move when struck with a cue.

Another example would be:
3+5=8 and eight is an even number. Therefore, an odd number added to another odd number will result in an even number.
Note that mathematical induction is not a form of inductive reasoning. While mathematical induction may be inspired by the non-base cases, the formulation of a base case firmly establishes it as a form of deductive reasoning.

Many philosophers[who?] believe that the ability to use inductive reasoning is essential for understanding and that it accumulates from observation and ideas which are the fabric of insight. Many philosophical[says who?] topics such as morality and faith are explained using inductive reasoning.

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Cinderella of the 21st Century

Cinderella’s stepmother and stepsisters disliked her. They bought themselves beautiful clothes and gifts and went to all of the important social events, but Cinderella wore rags and had to stay home. On the night of the Prince’s Ball, the stepmother and stepsisters wore beautiful gowns and jewels, and they left Cinderella at home to clean the fireplace. But Cinderella’s fairy godmother appeared and turned Cinderella’s rags into a beautiful gown. Then the fairy godmother, whose powers were granted to her for all eternity, found a pumpkin and turned it into a gold-plated automobile; she turned a mouse into a chauffer; and Cinderella rode to the Prince’s Ball in grand style.



Now read each of the following statements and indicate in the space provided whether you think they are true (T), false (F), or questionable (?). Provide one reason for each of your judgments.

1. Cinderella had more than one stepsister.

2. Cinderella’s natural mother was dead.


3. The stepmother and stepsisters went to many social events.


4. Cinderella’s stepmother and stepsisters didn’t buy any beautiful clothes for Cinderella.

5. A pumpkin can’t be turned into a gold-plated automobile.

6. The stepmother and stepsisters disliked Cinderella.


7. Cinderella’s stepmother or stepsisters made Cinderella stay home when they went to the important social events.


8. The step mother and stepsisters offered to take Cinderella to the Prince’s Ball with them.


9. Cinderella walked to the Prince’s Ball.

10. Cinderella wanted to go to the Prince’s Ball.


11. The stepmother and stepsisters left Cinderella home on the night of the Prince’s Ball.


12. Cinderella rode to the Prince’s Ball in a carriage drawn by six white horses.


13. Although the stepmother and stepsisters had beautiful clothes, they never bought clothes for themselves.


14. The stepmother and stepsisters went only to social events that were important.


15. Cinderella’s fairy godmother was an evil in disguise.


CRCB 11
Critical Reading for College and Beyond


CHAPTER ELEVEN -- SLIDES OUTLINE

CHAPTER GOALS After learning Chapter 11, you should be able to demonstrate:

How to read visual information, such as charts, graphs, and photos.

Why authors select particular visuals to convey certain types of information to their readers.

How to create visuals to help you remember information your have learned from your texts.

Purpose of Visual Aids?

Visual aids provide a quick, easily accessible format for information that shows how information is connected and/or the meaning.

Types of Visual Aids in Textbooks

Charts and tables

Diagrams

Illustrations

Graphs – bar graphs, line graphs, pictographs, and pie graphs

Photographs

Time Lines

Creating Visual Aids

Outlines

Mind Maps

Charts

Matrices

Free Form Drawings



Guide for Selecting a Visual Aid

Charts – compare data

Diagrams – represent places, things, processes

Photographs – show actual events

Outlines – show linear organization

Time Lines – represent chronology of events

What If I’m Not an Artist?

You don’t need to be an artist to make effective visuals.

Visuals only have to make sense to you.

Visuals should be labeled so that you remember key information.





Chapter Vocabulary

Charts

Diagrams

Outlines

Bar Graphs

Pie Graphs

Photographs

Free-Form Drawings

Illustrations

Line Graphs

Tables

Time Lines

Mind Maps

Concept Maps

Pictographs

CRCB - Chapter 12 - Identifying and Evaluating Arguments Exercise


Exercise 12a - Engaging in Argument - Page 395-397:


Read the following version of the fairy tale Cinderella and decide whether the statements that follow it are true, false, or questionable. Provide a reason for each of your answers. For the purpose of this exercise, accept each sentence of the fairy tale as fact and forget about the common version of it. Think about what information each sentence conveys before making judgments about the statements that follow. Afterward you will share your responses with other members of your class. Some will agree with you and some will disagree, and you will see how a harmless fairy tale can turn into an argument.

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TFY Chapter Eleven Inductive Reasoning and Inductive Fallacies

Inductive reasoning is a method used to discover new information or supply missing information. When we reason inductively, we observe, test, and investigate in a systematic manner known as the empirical or scientific method.
Exercises and discussion in this chapter show you how induction uses sensory observation, enumeration, analogical reasoning, pattern discovery, causal reasoning, reasoning from hypotheses and through statistics and probability. A short writing application asks you to research some facts and form hypotheses about them. The second half of this chapter treats eight inductive fallacies. Here you will learn how to identify each in turn by studying their definitions, reading examples, and achieving an understanding of why they are fallacious.



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